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Professor Xueqin Jiang, extensively often known as the Chinese language Nostradamus, made predictions concerning the ongoing Iran US battle within the Center East, and what he needed to say attracted the eye of many.
This, nevertheless, isn’t his first prediction. Quite the opposite, on his YouTube channel, Predictive Historical past, the place he has a lot of followers, Jiang shares forecasts about many international occasions.
For instance, again in 2024, he posted a video of himself sharing three main predictions throughout a lecture at a highschool in China, and two of these predictions have already come true. This left individuals in anticipation for the third prediction he made, questioning if it is going to additionally flip right into a actuality.
A type of predictions concerned Trump and the US 2024 elections. Particularly, Jiang mentioned, “If he [Trump] does turn out to be president in a second time period, there will likely be a really sturdy chance that the USA will go to battle with Iran.”
Hostilities between the USA and Iran escalated into open warfare on February 28, 2026. The state of affairs has grown more and more risky, leaving many fearing of the potential for WWIII. Essentially the most putting side of Jiang’s prediction of the ultimate consequence of the battle: America can be defeated, in response to him.
In his evaluation of attainable battle eventualities, the professor argued that an American offensive towards Iran can be unlikely to succeed.
“The third massive prediction is that the USA will lose this battle, which can without end change the worldwide order,” he mentioned, pointing to Iran’s demographics and topography as key components.
“If this battle [US-Iran] had been to occur, there’s completely no method America can win this battle,” he added.
In keeping with Jiang, his predictions are primarily based on “psycho-history,” a specialised framework he makes use of to investigate recurring historic cycles and mission future occasions.
He had beforehand argued that the stance of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is primarily pushed by animosity in the direction of the US interventionism in Iran.
“We are able to suspect {that a} second Trump time period battle with Iran will likely be a serious precedence.
“Principally the USA is on the lookout for a purpose and Iran desires to provide them a purpose and that’s why I believe battle between the USA and Iran could be very seemingly within the subsequent two to 4 years.”
Talking earlier this month, Jiang remained assured in his predictions: “Given my evaluation of how the battle is progressing, I believe that Iran has many extra benefits over the USA. The fact is, proper now, it’s a battle of attrition between the USA and Iran, and Iranians have been making ready 20 years for this battle.”
In keeping with Sudan Horizon, Jiang posits that the US faces vital danger in case of a protracted battle. He argues that the present state of affairs appears to be shifting to a “battle of attrition,” whereby the true winner is not going to be primarily based on its navy capabilities, however on which nation can not maintain its financial system and resolve.
“Iranian planners have been making ready for this for 20 years,” Jiang mentioned, as per The Public Purview. “Of their worldview, it is a civilizational wrestle. They see it as a battle towards the ‘Nice Devil.’”
In keeping with the Chinese language Nostradamus, the present panorama of warfare has shifted to favor agility over sheer scale.
“The U.S. military-industrial complicated was constructed after World Conflict II to struggle the Chilly Conflict,” he mentioned. “It isn’t optimized for drone-saturated, uneven attritional warfare.”
He pointed to the rising price imbalance on the battlefield, the place extraordinarily costly protection methods are sometimes deployed towards less expensive weapons.
“This asymmetry just isn’t sustainable long-term,” he added, referring to the usage of million-dollar missile protection methods to intercept drones which will price solely a fraction of that quantity.
Other than that, Jiang additionally warned that the battle may have critical financial repercussions, notably for international locations within the Gulf.
He mentioned that key infrastructure like desalination crops, oil services, and maritime commerce routes might be key stress factors within the battle, notably within the Strait of Hormuz.
“Sixty p.c of Gulf water provide comes from desalination crops,” he mentioned. “A $50,000 drone may disable a serious facility serving hundreds of thousands.”
Jiang warns that the after-effects of this battle are usually not restricted to the battlefield, notably specializing in the worldwide vitality chain and finance. He argues that the bottleneck within the Gulf oil exports, accompanied by a halt within the funding pipeline, might set off a “domino impact” on the U.S. home sectors, particularly these sectors which can be backed or supported by the Gulf states.
“The American financial system is closely depending on Gulf petrodollars recycled into its markets,” he argued. “If that cycle breaks, it may set off systemic stress.”
The Chinese language Nostradamus additional questioned if a navy marketing campaign will actually obtain one of many goals typically mentioned by policymakers, the regime change in Iran.
“Historical past exhibits airpower alone doesn’t change regimes,” he mentioned. “Floor troops can be required — and that might be enormously expensive.”
In keeping with him, sure regional actors, together with Saudi Arabia and Israel, may assist a more durable US stance in the direction of Teheran, although the difficulty is politically very delicate and debated.
Past the instant strategic issues, Jiang locations this battle within the context of an essential shift in international energy. He argues that the notion of American “invincibility” is being stripped away, and that we’re coming into an period through which a number of international powers, not only one, maintain sway.
Whereas Jiang’s controversial positions and and the “psycho-history” method behind it’s a topic to a wider debate lacks common proof, his work does faucet right into a dialogue amongst students.
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